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Circle IPO Probability Surges to 95% on Polymarket, Signaling Strong Investor Confidence

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By Carine W.Apr 02, 2025

Prediction Market Points to High Likelihood of Circle Going Public in 2025.

Cryptocurrency payment firm Circle, the issuer behind USDC stablecoin, is now showing a 95% probability of completing an initial public offering (IPO) in 2025, according to data from crypto prediction platform Polymarket as of April 2. The market has attracted significant interest, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $680,000.

This high-confidence prediction emerges on Polymarket, a platform that has demonstrated remarkable forecasting accuracy. Recent research by data scientist Alex McCullough revealed that Polymarket can predict events with up to 94% accuracy, based on comprehensive analysis of the platform's historical data.

Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market where users can place bets on the outcomes of various events, from politics and sports to cryptocurrency developments. The platform has gained significant traction in the crypto community, with over 280,000 active users reported in March 2025 alone.

The strong betting position on Circle's public offering suggests that market participants are highly confident in the stablecoin issuer's plans to go public this year. This market sentiment aligns with Circle's recent S-1 filing with the SEC, where the company officially announced plans to list on the NYSE under ticker 'CRCL'.

Circle IPO

Carine W.

A seeker of truth in crypto, blending writing, peace, and prayer to inspire a global audience.

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